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Gokhan Saki vs Henrique da Silva

UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami ·Saitama Super Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Gokhan Saki
Henrique da Silva
26% 74%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
34
Age
Δ 6y
28
—
Current streak
L3
0
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Saki: 40 sig / 0 TD · da Silva: 20 sig / 0 TD
Gokhan Saki
Henrique da Silva
25
Sig strikes landed
32
41
Sig strikes attempted
61
32
Total strikes landed
45
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
101s
Control time
162s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
28%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Gokhan Saki

"The Rebel"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
Blue corner
L3

Henrique da Silva

"Frankenstein"
14-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
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