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Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Syuri Kondo vs Chan-Mi Jeon

UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami ·Saitama Super Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Syuri Kondo
Chan-Mi Jeon
43% 57%
Why
29
Age
Δ 8y
20
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Kondo: 135 sig / 0 TD · Jeon: 95 sig / 0 TD
Syuri Kondo
Chan-Mi Jeon
70
Sig strikes landed
50
146
Sig strikes attempted
142
103
Total strikes landed
67
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.3
3.1
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
164s
Control time
97s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Syuri Kondo

0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
L1

Chan-Mi Jeon

5-3
Career record
Height
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
20
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