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Prelims1 Welterweight

Shinsho Anzai vs Luke Jumeau

UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami ·Saitama Super Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Shinsho Anzai
Luke Jumeau
50% 50%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
32
Age
Δ 2y
30
11-3
Career record
Δ 5 pp
14-5
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Anzai: 51 sig / 1 TD · Jumeau: 49 sig / 0 TD
Shinsho Anzai
Luke Jumeau
24
Sig strikes landed
32
51
Sig strikes attempted
60
46
Total strikes landed
48
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.0
5.7
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
233s
Control time
127s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Shinsho Anzai

"Animal"
11-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nel…
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L UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
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Blue corner
W1

Luke Jumeau

"The Jedi"
14-5
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
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