Main
Lightweight
Takanori Gomi vs Dong Hyun Ma
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami
·Saitama Super Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Takanori Gomi
Dong Hyun Ma
77%
23%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 0"
70"
39
Age
Δ 10y
29
35-15
Career record
Δ 15 pp
17-11-3
L4
Current streak
W1
12
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Gomi: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Ma: 13 sig / 0 TD
Takanori Gomi
Dong Hyun Ma
34
Sig strikes landed
42
70
Sig strikes attempted
89
46
Total strikes landed
59
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
117s
Control time
119s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L4
Takanori Gomi
"The Fireball Kid"
35-15
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
39
In our database
12 fights · 4-8
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…
—
L
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
L
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
W
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—
Blue corner
W1
Dong Hyun Ma
"Maestro"
17-11-3
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournamen…
—
L
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs M…
—