Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Sidney Outlaw
Michael Cora
64%
36%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 3"
77"
25
Age
Δ 3y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Outlaw: 2 sig / 3 TD ·
Cora: 12 sig / 0 TD
Sidney Outlaw
Michael Cora
32
Sig strikes landed
33
66
Sig strikes attempted
68
54
Total strikes landed
42
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.6
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
134s
Control time
141s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Sidney Outlaw
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner
Michael Cora
"Kookie Monster"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28