Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Thanh Le
Lazar Stojadinovic
51%
49%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 6"
68"
32
Age
Δ 4y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Le: 13 sig / 0 TD ·
Stojadinovic: 12 sig / 0 TD
Thanh Le
Lazar Stojadinovic
37
Sig strikes landed
37
75
Sig strikes attempted
76
44
Total strikes landed
55
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.8
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
121s
Control time
128s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Thanh Le
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner
Lazar Stojadinovic
"The Bronx Bomber"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28