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Main Flyweight

CJ Hamilton vs Casey Kenney

DWCS 1.2 ·The Ultimate Fighter Gym
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
CJ Hamilton
Casey Kenney
44% 56%
Why
68"
Reach
68"
31
Age
Δ 4y
26

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hamilton: 37 sig / 0 TD · Kenney: 59 sig / 3 TD
CJ Hamilton
Casey Kenney
35
Sig strikes landed
41
75
Sig strikes attempted
82
48
Total strikes landed
58
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
119s
Control time
169s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

CJ Hamilton

"The Autobot"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Switch
Age
31
Blue corner

Casey Kenney

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26