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Main Bantamweight

Sean O'Malley vs Alfred Khashakyan

DWCS 1.2 ·The Ultimate Fighter Gym
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Sean O'Malley
Alfred Khashakyan
85% 15%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
23
Age
Δ 6y
29

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
O'Malley: 27 sig / 0 TD · Khashakyan: 26 sig / 1 TD
Sean O'Malley
Alfred Khashakyan
43
Sig strikes landed
29
86
Sig strikes attempted
63
62
Total strikes landed
40
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
181s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Sean O'Malley

"Suga"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
23
Blue corner

Alfred Khashakyan

"The Fearless"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29