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Prelims1 Women's Bantamweight

Lina Lansberg vs Aspen Ladd

UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till ·Ergo Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Lina Lansberg
Aspen Ladd
27% 73%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 0"
66"
36
Age
Δ 13y
23
W1
Current streak
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2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Lansberg: 41 sig / 0 TD · Ladd: 26 sig / 1 TD
Lina Lansberg
Aspen Ladd
41
Sig strikes landed
38
77
Sig strikes attempted
82
72
Total strikes landed
72
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
206s
Control time
166s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Lina Lansberg

"Elbow Queen"
11-8
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
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L UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lan…
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Blue corner

Aspen Ladd

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23