Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Salim Touahri
Warlley Alves
53%
47%
Why
72"
Reach
72"
28
Age
Δ 1y
27
—
Current streak
L2
0
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Touahri: 35 sig / 0 TD ·
Alves: 38 sig / 2 TD
Salim Touahri
Warlley Alves
35
Sig strikes landed
35
71
Sig strikes attempted
71
48
Total strikes landed
54
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.6
2.0
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
87s
Control time
196s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Salim Touahri
"Grizzly"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
L2
Warlley Alves
15-9
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
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L
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
—
W
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
—
W
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—
W
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs S…
—