Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Artem Lobov
Andre Fili
17%
83%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 9"
74"
31
Age
Δ 4y
27
13-16-1
Career record
Δ 21 pp
25-14
L1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lobov: 55 sig / 0 TD ·
Fili: 55 sig / 5 TD
Artem Lobov
Andre Fili
42
Sig strikes landed
58
95
Sig strikes attempted
132
56
Total strikes landed
75
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.2
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
118s
Control time
118s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Artem Lobov
"The Russian Hammer"
13-16-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
—
W
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGr…
—
Blue corner
L1
Andre Fili
"Touchy"
25-14
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
—
L
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
—