Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Sam Alvey
Ramazan Emeev
61%
39%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
32
Age
Δ 1y
30
W1
Current streak
—
12
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Alvey: 29 sig / 0 TD ·
Emeev: 38 sig / 1 TD
Sam Alvey
Ramazan Emeev
37
Sig strikes landed
33
80
Sig strikes attempted
67
44
Total strikes landed
47
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.0
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
47s
Control time
135s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Sam Alvey
"Smile'N"
34-18-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
12 fights · 8-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
—
Blue corner
Ramazan Emeev
"Gorets"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30