Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Oskar Piechota
Jonathan Wilson
75%
25%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
28
Age
Δ 3y
30
—
Current streak
L2
0
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Piechota: 56 sig / 1 TD ·
Wilson: 17 sig / 0 TD
Oskar Piechota
Jonathan Wilson
37
Sig strikes landed
31
70
Sig strikes attempted
74
55
Total strikes landed
42
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
153s
Control time
46s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
56%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Oskar Piechota
"Imadlo"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
Blue corner
L2
Jonathan Wilson
"Johnny Bravo"
7-4
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
—
L
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—