Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Ilir Latifi
Tyson Pedro
44%
56%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 6"
79"
35
Age
Δ 9y
26
17-10
Career record
Δ 6 pp
11-5
L1
Current streak
W2
8
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Latifi: 44 sig / 4 TD ·
Pedro: 31 sig / 0 TD
Ilir Latifi
Tyson Pedro
13
Sig strikes landed
22
28
Sig strikes attempted
52
27
Total strikes landed
30
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
162s
Control time
60s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
33%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ilir Latifi
"The Sledgehammer"
17-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
—
W
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Lei…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
—
Blue corner
W2
Tyson Pedro
11-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—