Prelims1
Lightweight
Mairbek Taisumov vs Felipe Silva
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve
·Ahoy Rotterdam
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Mairbek Taisumov
Felipe Silva
87%
13%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
77"
29
Age
Δ 4y
33
28-6
Career record
Δ 1 pp
9-2
W4
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Taisumov: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Silva: 0 sig / 0 TD
Mairbek Taisumov
Felipe Silva
29
Sig strikes landed
19
63
Sig strikes attempted
60
43
Total strikes landed
25
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.4
1.3
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
100s
Control time
17s
Method
Decision
25%
KO/TKO
57%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Mairbek Taisumov
"Beckan"
28-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johns…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
Blue corner
W1
Felipe Silva
9-2
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
—