Prelims1
Welterweight
Darren Till vs Bojan Velickovic
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve
·Ahoy Rotterdam
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Darren Till
Bojan Velickovic
76%
24%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
25
Age
Δ 4y
29
19-5-1
Career record
Δ 6 pp
16-6-1
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Till: 49 sig / 1 TD ·
Velickovic: 34 sig / 0 TD
Darren Till
Bojan Velickovic
38
Sig strikes landed
28
93
Sig strikes attempted
87
45
Total strikes landed
39
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.3
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
96s
Control time
52s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Darren Till
"The Gorilla"
19-5-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database
3 fights · 2-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smo…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
—
Blue corner
W1
Bojan Velickovic
"Serbian Steel"
16-6-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 2-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
L
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
—
D
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—