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Main Bantamweight

Alejandro Perez vs Andre Soukhamthath

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Alejandro Perez
Andre Soukhamthath
77% 23%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
28
Age
Δ 1y
29
23-9-2
Career record
Δ 9 pp
13-9
D1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Perez: 44 sig / 1 TD · Soukhamthath: 43 sig / 0 TD
Alejandro Perez
Andre Soukhamthath
41
Sig strikes landed
34
85
Sig strikes attempted
96
58
Total strikes landed
47
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.3
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
92s
Control time
117s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
D1

Alejandro Perez

"Turbo"
23-9-2
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 5 fights · 3-1
Last 5
D UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Jo…
W UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
W UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
L UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
W UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
Blue corner
L1

Andre Soukhamthath

"The Asian Sensation"
13-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2