Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Brad Scott
Jack Hermansson
38%
62%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
28
Age
Δ 1y
29
12-6
Career record
Δ 5 pp
25-10
W1
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Scott: 0 sig / 0 TD ·
Hermansson: 38 sig / 1 TD
Brad Scott
Jack Hermansson
37
Sig strikes landed
44
91
Sig strikes attempted
97
49
Total strikes landed
59
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.2
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
139s
Control time
126s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Brad Scott
"Bear"
12-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bispi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
Blue corner
W1
Jack Hermansson
"The Joker"
25-10
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
—