Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Alan Jouban
Niko Price
55%
45%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
36
Age
Δ 8y
28
17-8
Career record
Δ 9 pp
16-11
L1
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Jouban: 5 sig / 0 TD ·
Price: 10 sig / 0 TD
Alan Jouban
Niko Price
32
Sig strikes landed
29
59
Sig strikes attempted
75
36
Total strikes landed
43
0.1
Takedowns landed
1.3
0.0
Takedowns attempted
5.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
44s
Control time
149s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
39%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Alan Jouban
"Brahma"
17-8
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
W
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
—
L
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
Blue corner
W1
Niko Price
"The Hybrid"
16-11
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
—