Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Martin Bravo
Humberto Bandenay
65%
35%
Why
72"
Reach
72"
24
Age
Δ 1y
23
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Bravo: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Bandenay: 5 sig / 0 TD
Martin Bravo
Humberto Bandenay
50
Sig strikes landed
42
106
Sig strikes attempted
103
56
Total strikes landed
53
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.60
Knockdowns
0.10
44s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Martin Bravo
"El Toro"
12-3
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
Blue corner
Humberto Bandenay
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
23