Main
Women's Strawweight
Randa Markos vs Alexa Grasso
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno
·Arena CDMX
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Randa Markos
Alexa Grasso
17%
83%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
32
Age
Δ 8y
24
12-12-1
Career record
Δ 23 pp
17-6-1
W1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Markos: 45 sig / 4 TD ·
Grasso: 64 sig / 0 TD
Randa Markos
Alexa Grasso
54
Sig strikes landed
65
134
Sig strikes attempted
142
78
Total strikes landed
97
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
5.0
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
166s
Control time
151s
Method
Decision
84%
KO/TKO
9%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Randa Markos
"Quiet Storm"
12-12-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Brow…
—
L
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs T…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowbo…
—
W
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
Blue corner
L1
Alexa Grasso
17-6-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—