Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jose Quinonez
Diego Rivas
45%
55%
Why
69"
Reach
69"
27
Age
Δ 1y
26
10-5
Career record
Δ 18 pp
11-2
W2
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Quinonez: 59 sig / 1 TD ·
Rivas: 27 sig / 1 TD
Jose Quinonez
Diego Rivas
23
Sig strikes landed
23
59
Sig strikes attempted
62
32
Total strikes landed
39
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.2
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
95s
Control time
168s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Jose Quinonez
"Teco"
10-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Jo…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Hen…
—
L
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
—
Blue corner
W2
Diego Rivas
"Pitbull"
11-2
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs S…
—