Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Cody Stamann
Terrion Ware
69%
31%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 6"
71"
28
Age
Δ 4y
31
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Stamann: 94 sig / 8 TD ·
Ware: 60 sig / 0 TD
Cody Stamann
Terrion Ware
39
Sig strikes landed
38
79
Sig strikes attempted
82
54
Total strikes landed
50
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
130s
Control time
103s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Cody Stamann
"The Spartan"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
Terrion Ware
"Flash"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31