Prelims2
Light Heavyweight
Trevin Giles vs James Bochnovic
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Trevin Giles
James Bochnovic
66%
34%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 7"
81"
25
Age
Δ 4y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Giles: 41 sig / 5 TD ·
Bochnovic: 5 sig / 0 TD
Trevin Giles
James Bochnovic
36
Sig strikes landed
35
69
Sig strikes attempted
76
55
Total strikes landed
44
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
169s
Control time
87s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Trevin Giles
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner
James Bochnovic
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28