Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Daniel Omielanczuk
Curtis Blaydes
35%
65%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 6"
80"
35
Age
Δ 8y
26
19-9-1
Career record
Δ 10 pp
19-6
L2
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Omielanczuk: 51 sig / 0 TD ·
Blaydes: 72 sig / 0 TD
Daniel Omielanczuk
Curtis Blaydes
25
Sig strikes landed
38
49
Sig strikes attempted
72
44
Total strikes landed
60
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
84s
Control time
163s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Daniel Omielanczuk
19-9-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
L
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. L…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bispi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Lei…
—
Blue corner
W1
Curtis Blaydes
"Razor"
19-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—