Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Anthony Pettis
Jim Miller
50%
50%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
30
Age
Δ 4y
34
24-11
Career record
Δ 2 pp
39-20
L1
Current streak
L1
11
UFC fights in our DB
21
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pettis: 80 sig / 1 TD ·
Miller: 48 sig / 1 TD
Anthony Pettis
Jim Miller
40
Sig strikes landed
35
83
Sig strikes attempted
75
49
Total strikes landed
52
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.1
0.4
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
71s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
29%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Anthony Pettis
"Showtime"
24-11
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
L
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
—
W
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
—
L
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—
L
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
—
Blue corner
L1
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39-20
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
21 fights · 13-7
Last 5
L
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
W
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
W
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
—
W
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
L
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—