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Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Angela Hill vs Ashley Yoder

The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale ·T-Mobile Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Angela Hill
Ashley Yoder
60% 40%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 5"
70"
32
Age
Δ 3y
30
19-17
Career record
Δ 8 pp
8-10
L3
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hill: 47 sig / 1 TD · Yoder: 26 sig / 3 TD
Angela Hill
Ashley Yoder
60
Sig strikes landed
59
105
Sig strikes attempted
140
91
Total strikes landed
72
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.7
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
136s
Control time
146s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L3

Angela Hill

"Overkill"
19-17
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—
L UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
L UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: A Champio…
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Blue corner
L1

Ashley Yoder

"SpiderMonkey"
8-10
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
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