Main
Lightweight
Marc Diakiese vs Drakkar Klose
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Marc Diakiese
Drakkar Klose
54%
46%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
24
Age
Δ 5y
29
18-7
Career record
Δ 9 pp
17-3-1
W3
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Diakiese: 34 sig / 2 TD ·
Klose: 39 sig / 3 TD
Marc Diakiese
Drakkar Klose
33
Sig strikes landed
31
71
Sig strikes attempted
56
45
Total strikes landed
51
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.3
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
128s
Control time
168s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Marc Diakiese
"Bonecrusher"
18-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—
W
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
—
Blue corner
W1
Drakkar Klose
17-3-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—