Prelims2
Heavyweight
Timothy Johnson vs Junior Albini
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum
·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Timothy Johnson
Junior Albini
47%
53%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
32
Age
Δ 6y
26
W1
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Johnson: 19 sig / 0 TD ·
Albini: 21 sig / 0 TD
Timothy Johnson
Junior Albini
34
Sig strikes landed
34
74
Sig strikes attempted
68
59
Total strikes landed
51
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
5.0
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
213s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Timothy Johnson
13-4
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
—
Blue corner
Junior Albini
"Baby"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26