Prelims2
Featherweight
Kyle Bochniak vs Jeremy Kennedy
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum
·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Kyle Bochniak
Jeremy Kennedy
23%
77%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
30
Age
Δ 6y
25
9-5
Career record
Δ 28 pp
12-1
W1
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bochniak: 23 sig / 0 TD ·
Kennedy: 41 sig / 8 TD
Kyle Bochniak
Jeremy Kennedy
34
Sig strikes landed
42
86
Sig strikes attempted
96
56
Total strikes landed
66
-0.1
Takedowns landed
3.9
0.8
Takedowns attempted
7.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
73s
Control time
453s
Method
Decision
82%
KO/TKO
9%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Kyle Bochniak
"Killer B"
9-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—
Blue corner
W2
Jeremy Kennedy
"JBC"
12-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
—