Main
Featherweight
Dennis Bermudez vs Darren Elkins
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum
·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Dennis Bermudez
Darren Elkins
39%
61%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 5"
71"
31
Age
Δ 3y
33
17-10
Career record
Δ 8 pp
30-12
L1
Current streak
W4
13
UFC fights in our DB
16
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Bermudez: 69 sig / 1 TD ·
Elkins: 70 sig / 3 TD
Dennis Bermudez
Darren Elkins
51
Sig strikes landed
49
98
Sig strikes attempted
112
69
Total strikes landed
75
1.7
Takedowns landed
2.0
3.6
Takedowns attempted
5.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
148s
Control time
171s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Dennis Bermudez
"The Menace"
17-10
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
13 fights · 9-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
—
L
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor
—
L
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
—
Blue corner
W4
Darren Elkins
"The Damage"
30-12
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
16 fights · 12-4
Last 5
W
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—
W
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smo…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
—