Prelims1
Welterweight
Lyman Good vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum
·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Lyman Good
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
60%
40%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
32
Age
Δ 2y
31
22-6
Career record
Δ 8 pp
26-10-1
W1
Current streak
W2
1
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Good: 75 sig / 1 TD ·
Zaleski dos Santos: 83 sig / 1 TD
Lyman Good
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
58
Sig strikes landed
51
133
Sig strikes attempted
131
70
Total strikes landed
66
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
0.8
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
43s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Lyman Good
"Cyborg"
22-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
—
Blue corner
W2
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
"Capoeira"
26-10-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
—