Prelims1
Middleweight
Vitor Miranda vs Marvin Vettori
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
·Paycom Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Vitor Miranda
Marvin Vettori
32%
68%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
38
Age
Δ 14y
24
12-6
Career record
Δ 5 pp
19-11-1
L1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Miranda: 51 sig / 0 TD ·
Vettori: 69 sig / 3 TD
Vitor Miranda
Marvin Vettori
34
Sig strikes landed
29
61
Sig strikes attempted
69
49
Total strikes landed
44
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.8
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
120s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
35%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Vitor Miranda
"Lex Luthor"
12-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Gar…
—
W
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
W
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Mald…
—
Blue corner
L1
Marvin Vettori
"The Italian Dream"
19-11-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
—
W
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
—