Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Andre Fili
Calvin Kattar
59%
41%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
27
Age
Δ 2y
29
W1
Current streak
—
7
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Fili: 73 sig / 0 TD ·
Kattar: 75 sig / 2 TD
Andre Fili
Calvin Kattar
37
Sig strikes landed
34
87
Sig strikes attempted
78
51
Total strikes landed
49
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
126s
Control time
98s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Andre Fili
"Touchy"
26-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
—
L
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
—
W
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—
Blue corner
Calvin Kattar
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29