Prelims2
Women's Strawweight
Kailin Curran vs Aleksandra Albu
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
·Honda Center
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Kailin Curran
Aleksandra Albu
50%
50%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 2"
63"
26
Age
Δ 1y
27
4-6
Career record
Δ 27 pp
4-2
L2
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Curran: 86 sig / 1 TD ·
Albu: 82 sig / 5 TD
Kailin Curran
Aleksandra Albu
37
Sig strikes landed
36
87
Sig strikes attempted
61
67
Total strikes landed
58
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
130s
Control time
170s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
37%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Kailin Curran
4-6
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
5 fights · 1-4
Last 5
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournamen…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swans…
—
Blue corner
W1
Aleksandra Albu
"Stitch"
4-2
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro…
—