Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Jimi Manuwa
Volkan Oezdemir
39%
61%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 4"
75"
37
Age
Δ 10y
28
18-6
Career record
Δ 2 pp
22-8
W2
Current streak
W2
8
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Manuwa: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Oezdemir: 12 sig / 0 TD
Jimi Manuwa
Volkan Oezdemir
32
Sig strikes landed
34
71
Sig strikes attempted
74
38
Total strikes landed
46
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.4
Takedowns attempted
0.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
72s
Control time
63s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
57%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Jimi Manuwa
"Poster Boy"
18-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
W
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
—
L
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs …
—
Blue corner
W2
Volkan Oezdemir
"No Time"
22-8
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—