Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Eric Shelton
Jarred Brooks
40%
60%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 6"
62"
26
Age
Δ 2y
24
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Shelton: 31 sig / 1 TD ·
Brooks: 27 sig / 5 TD
Eric Shelton
Jarred Brooks
33
Sig strikes landed
41
83
Sig strikes attempted
74
50
Total strikes landed
58
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.5
3.9
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
152s
Control time
158s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Eric Shelton
"Showtime"
12-7
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
—
Blue corner
Jarred Brooks
"The Monkey God"
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
62"
Stance
Switch
Age
24