Main
Women's Strawweight
Joanne Wood vs Cynthia Calvillo
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio
·The SSE Hydro
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Joanne Wood
Cynthia Calvillo
69%
31%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
32
Age
Δ 2y
30
17-9
Career record
Δ 7 pp
10-6-1
L1
Current streak
W2
5
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Wood: 63 sig / 0 TD ·
Calvillo: 54 sig / 2 TD
Joanne Wood
Cynthia Calvillo
49
Sig strikes landed
38
106
Sig strikes attempted
111
69
Total strikes landed
72
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.8
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
147s
Control time
140s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Joanne Wood
"JoJo"
17-9
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
—
W
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Lei…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champio…
—
Blue corner
W2
Cynthia Calvillo
10-6-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
—
W
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—