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Prelims1 Welterweight

Charlie Ward vs Galore Bofando

UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio ·The SSE Hydro
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Charlie Ward
Galore Bofando
48% 52%
Why
37
Age
Δ 1y
35
L1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Ward: 3 sig / 0 TD · Bofando: 10 sig / 1 TD
Charlie Ward
Galore Bofando
26
Sig strikes landed
38
67
Sig strikes attempted
74
47
Total strikes landed
51
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.3
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
50s
Control time
135s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Charlie Ward

3-4
Career record
Height
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
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Blue corner

Galore Bofando

0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
35