Main
Welterweight
Dong Hyun Kim vs Colby Covington
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia
·Singapore Indoor Stadium
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Dong Hyun Kim
Colby Covington
60%
40%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
36
Age
Δ 6y
29
23-4-1
Career record
Δ 4 pp
18-5
W3
Current streak
W3
13
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Kim: 19 sig / 2 TD ·
Covington: 47 sig / 8 TD
Dong Hyun Kim
Colby Covington
19
Sig strikes landed
20
43
Sig strikes attempted
44
50
Total strikes landed
50
1.6
Takedowns landed
2.5
3.5
Takedowns attempted
5.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
173s
Control time
299s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Dong Hyun Kim
"Stun Gun"
23-4-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
13 fights · 10-3
Last 5
W
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs M…
—
W
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway
—
Blue corner
W3
Colby Covington
"Chaos"
18-5
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
—
W
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs T…
—
L
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
—
W
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
—