Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Luke Jumeau
Dominique Steele
63%
37%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
29
Age
Δ 0y
29
—
Current streak
L2
0
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jumeau: 40 sig / 0 TD ·
Steele: 44 sig / 1 TD
Luke Jumeau
Dominique Steele
36
Sig strikes landed
30
65
Sig strikes attempted
66
55
Total strikes landed
47
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.7
1.9
Takedowns attempted
4.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
101s
Control time
217s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Luke Jumeau
"The Jedi"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
L2
Dominique Steele
"Non-Stop Action-Packed"
14-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
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L
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
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W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs M…
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L
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
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