Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Kiichi Kunimoto
Zak Ottow
53%
47%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
72"
36
Age
Δ 6y
30
18-8-2
Career record
Δ 4 pp
17-8
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Kunimoto: 25 sig / 2 TD ·
Ottow: 37 sig / 2 TD
Kiichi Kunimoto
Zak Ottow
36
Sig strikes landed
34
83
Sig strikes attempted
99
55
Total strikes landed
52
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.3
5.3
Takedowns attempted
0.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
221s
Control time
37s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Kiichi Kunimoto
"Strasser"
18-8-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
W
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs …
—
Blue corner
L1
Zak Ottow
"The Barbarian"
17-8
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
—