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Prelims2 Women's Strawweight

JJ Aldrich vs Chan-Mi Jeon

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
JJ Aldrich
Chan-Mi Jeon
58% 42%
Why
25
Age
Δ 5y
20
L1
Current streak
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Aldrich: 98 sig / 0 TD · Jeon: 92 sig / 0 TD
JJ Aldrich
Chan-Mi Jeon
37
Sig strikes landed
42
78
Sig strikes attempted
79
64
Total strikes landed
63
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.1
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
180s
Control time
103s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

JJ Aldrich

15-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
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Blue corner

Chan-Mi Jeon

0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
20