Prelims2
Welterweight
Darren Till vs Jessin Ayari
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira
·Ericsson Globe
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Darren Till
Jessin Ayari
65%
35%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
24
Age
Δ 1y
25
18-5-2
Career record
Δ 2 pp
17-6
D1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Till: 31 sig / 2 TD ·
Ayari: 28 sig / 0 TD
Darren Till
Jessin Ayari
49
Sig strikes landed
35
110
Sig strikes attempted
106
60
Total strikes landed
40
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
141s
Control time
57s
Method
Decision
73%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
D1
Darren Till
"The Gorilla"
18-5-2
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 1-0
Last 2
D
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smo…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
—
Blue corner
W1
Jessin Ayari
17-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
—