Prelims1
Welterweight
Nicholas Musoke vs Bojan Velickovic
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira
·Ericsson Globe
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Nicholas Musoke
Bojan Velickovic
56%
44%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
31
Age
Δ 3y
28
13-6
Career record
Δ 3 pp
15-7-1
L1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Musoke: 49 sig / 1 TD ·
Velickovic: 53 sig / 1 TD
Nicholas Musoke
Bojan Velickovic
42
Sig strikes landed
41
105
Sig strikes attempted
96
58
Total strikes landed
57
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.5
5.9
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
222s
Control time
72s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Nicholas Musoke
"Nico"
13-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johns…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Ste…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
Blue corner
L1
Bojan Velickovic
"Serbian Steel"
15-7-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 1-1
Last 3
L
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
—
D
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—