Prelims1
Lightweight
Reza Madadi vs Joaquim Silva
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira
·Ericsson Globe
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Reza Madadi
Joaquim Silva
44%
56%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
69"
39
Age
Δ 11y
28
14-7
Career record
Δ 5 pp
15-6
L1
Current streak
W2
6
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Madadi: 26 sig / 5 TD ·
Silva: 40 sig / 0 TD
Reza Madadi
Joaquim Silva
28
Sig strikes landed
32
64
Sig strikes attempted
77
30
Total strikes landed
46
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.9
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
121s
Control time
83s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Reza Madadi
"Mad Dog"
14-7
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arl…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smo…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Lati…
—
L
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—
Blue corner
W2
Joaquim Silva
"Netto BJJ"
15-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joan…
—
W
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
—