Prelims1
Bantamweight
Pedro Munhoz vs Damian Stasiak
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira
·Ericsson Globe
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Pedro Munhoz
Damian Stasiak
61%
39%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 5"
70"
31
Age
Δ 3y
27
21-10
Career record
Δ 3 pp
11-6
W2
Current streak
W2
6
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Munhoz: 65 sig / 3 TD ·
Stasiak: 44 sig / 2 TD
Pedro Munhoz
Damian Stasiak
32
Sig strikes landed
29
69
Sig strikes attempted
70
49
Total strikes landed
41
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.3
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
115s
Control time
136s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
46%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Pedro Munhoz
"The Young Punisher"
21-10
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
6 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Mald…
—
L
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
—
Blue corner
W2
Damian Stasiak
"Webster"
11-6
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro…
—