Prelims1
Middleweight
Trevor Smith vs Chris Camozzi
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira
·Ericsson Globe
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Trevor Smith
Chris Camozzi
35%
65%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
36
Age
Δ 6y
30
15-11
Career record
Δ 5 pp
24-14
L1
Current streak
L2
8
UFC fights in our DB
18
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Smith: 39 sig / 4 TD ·
Camozzi: 10 sig / 0 TD
Trevor Smith
Chris Camozzi
41
Sig strikes landed
43
83
Sig strikes attempted
93
62
Total strikes landed
60
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
4.5
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
222s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Trevor Smith
"Hot Sauce"
15-11
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: American …
—
L
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs S…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Br…
—
Blue corner
L2
Chris Camozzi
24-14
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
18 fights · 9-9
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Gar…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—