Main
Light Heavyweight
Volkan Oezdemir vs Misha Cirkunov
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira
·Ericsson Globe
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Volkan Oezdemir
Misha Cirkunov
75%
25%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
77"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
22-8
Career record
Δ 9 pp
16-9
W1
Current streak
W4
1
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Oezdemir: 5 sig / 0 TD ·
Cirkunov: 9 sig / 0 TD
Volkan Oezdemir
Misha Cirkunov
41
Sig strikes landed
46
95
Sig strikes attempted
103
57
Total strikes landed
56
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
83s
Control time
115s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Volkan Oezdemir
"No Time"
22-8
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—
Blue corner
W4
Misha Cirkunov
16-9
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
—
W
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—