Main
Light Heavyweight
Alexander Gustafsson vs Glover Teixeira
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira
·Ericsson Globe
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Alexander Gustafsson
Glover Teixeira
36%
64%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 3"
76"
30
Age
Δ 7y
38
19-8
Career record
Δ 9 pp
34-9
W1
Current streak
W1
12
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 5
Gustafsson: 97 sig / 1 TD ·
Teixeira: 42 sig / 1 TD
Alexander Gustafsson
Glover Teixeira
55
Sig strikes landed
49
122
Sig strikes attempted
103
67
Total strikes landed
64
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.3
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
86s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Alexander Gustafsson
"The Mauler"
19-8
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
12 fights · 8-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
—
L
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
L
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johns…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs …
—
L
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
—
Blue corner
W1
Glover Teixeira
34-9
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
12 fights · 9-3
Last 5
W
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
L
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—